Great analysis work. I wanted to ask how much faith you put in the data though. I recall one dimension of the "UK grooming gangs" stories is that UK police were treating immigrant crimes different than domestic out of fear of political backlash, stories which seemed plausible if not definitive from across the pond.
I also wonder if aggregate data is obscuring local issues. For example, I found no evidence that the wave of US immigration since COVID changed anything about the town I live in. But when I visited my brother in Denver for Christmas, the local cathedral and grocery stores had armed guards, apparently after a number of violent encounters. I've never seen anything like it, and it has made me more sensitive to community-level concerns that might be more leading indicators of problems.
The biggest difference is that the US has no safety net. We must pay for and compete with immigrants for every service whether we’re citizens or not. This creates a huge resentment problem especially when you have poor immigrants moving here and having the state pay for them to have babies when the average American pays $20000 out of pocket just to have a baby now. Our public housing system has mostly been eliminated due to the demand. Landlords can rent anything so there is no reason for them to partake in the section 8 program (a rent subsidized program where the gov reimburses the land lord the difference between fair market value and the persons ability to pay). I live close to the northern border so I don’t see very many, but I can tell you there is a huge resentment towards immigrants in the US now. We never should have allowed this to happen as it will be very painful to reverse. Without a safety net and adequate wages for the local population it’s a recipe for disaster.
Great analysis work. I wanted to ask how much faith you put in the data though. I recall one dimension of the "UK grooming gangs" stories is that UK police were treating immigrant crimes different than domestic out of fear of political backlash, stories which seemed plausible if not definitive from across the pond.
I also wonder if aggregate data is obscuring local issues. For example, I found no evidence that the wave of US immigration since COVID changed anything about the town I live in. But when I visited my brother in Denver for Christmas, the local cathedral and grocery stores had armed guards, apparently after a number of violent encounters. I've never seen anything like it, and it has made me more sensitive to community-level concerns that might be more leading indicators of problems.
The biggest difference is that the US has no safety net. We must pay for and compete with immigrants for every service whether we’re citizens or not. This creates a huge resentment problem especially when you have poor immigrants moving here and having the state pay for them to have babies when the average American pays $20000 out of pocket just to have a baby now. Our public housing system has mostly been eliminated due to the demand. Landlords can rent anything so there is no reason for them to partake in the section 8 program (a rent subsidized program where the gov reimburses the land lord the difference between fair market value and the persons ability to pay). I live close to the northern border so I don’t see very many, but I can tell you there is a huge resentment towards immigrants in the US now. We never should have allowed this to happen as it will be very painful to reverse. Without a safety net and adequate wages for the local population it’s a recipe for disaster.