Obviously recommend Jason Matheny on IARPA and how more organizations should forecast
Stay tuned for more from me and Renaissance Philanthropy on using forecasting in R&D…
Closing low-quality medical schools decreases mortality. Attn: chiropractors.
Studies with a male lead author are more likely to be retracted than studies with female lead author.
People with disabilities are heavily discriminated against in the labor market, even when the disability is not relevant to the job.
Cate Hall argues for just saying the awkward thing. I largely agree, but I will note there is a small minority of people who react really poorly to this.1
From 2000-2021, the fraction of women who are married dropped in the bottom four quartiles of income, but rose for the richest women. The graph is very striking:
There’s a “welcome to Perth” sign that you see on approach into Sydney airport.
I’ve never been sure if this reaction is gendered.